Re: Big pot with TPTK
Having no reads sucks, but if you assume he's solid, he cold-called a solid raise preflop, so he must have 77,88,QQ, or AK of diamonds. We'll assume AA or KK would have reraised preflop, so rule those out.
There's one each left of 77,88, and QQ, and one AKd. We'll assume that he'll bluff with the missed diamond draw, though that may not be true and actually would push you towards folding. So it's 3:1 you're beat on the river.
On the river you have to call $53 to win $195.5 , so you need to be 27% to win to call. You are 25% to win, so on pot odds it's a very thin fold. It looks like calling and folding are about the same EV here.
However, with no reads I'd have to add in some donk-factor and err on the side of calling. There's also some chances of a split pot which push it towards calling.
Against a tight/passive player who's unlikely to bluff with a missed draw here, it's an easy fold.
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