View Single Post
  #5  
Old 12-21-2005, 02:17 AM
StellarWind StellarWind is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 704
Default Re: Line Costs Me The Pot or Can\'t Win?

[ QUOTE ]
The river bet seems wishful. If he's reasonable KJ/KQ usually won't make the river in this small pot. There's QJ... A pair that made it past the turn won't fold.

[/ QUOTE ]
Assuming that OP knows most of the regular players, the odds are that an unknown player will not be very good or reasonable enough to fold a gutshot with useful pairing potential. Or his KQ/KJ could be hearts. So there is substantial scope for Villain to have a foldable hand on the river.

But I think I agree that the 6-1 odds on the river bluff are not there due to a plethora of other hands that will call. I am reminded that I made a very similar river mistake earlier tonight. That I overlooked the same thing in analyzing this hand an hour later does not please me. Maybe I have a leak.
Reply With Quote