Re: was I right to raise the turn?
As you have seen I have neglected both the chance of getting a free card and getting 3-betted. It's just an approximation. I don't think the risk of a 3-bet swings the calcs by much, but the chance of getting a freecard should probably be accounted for.
Approximately I think you can see it as:
x*1*0.74 - 0.26*1*x (x being the chance of getting a free card).
So if the raise gives us the chance of 50% to get a free card, our equity is effected by:
0.5*0.74 - 0.26*0.5 = 0.24BB = 0.48SB
This is a huge differance and would make thje raise easy. I've never accounted the value of getting a freecard before so i would like to get some opinions...
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