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Old 12-20-2005, 08:24 PM
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Ukraine
Posts: 20
Default Re: raised 99 with Ace on flop against pfreraiser

OK, I did not consider Ace on flop in my calculations.
Lets imagine we are on the button with KK, TAG raises from EP, we reraised, blinds fold and there is A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] on flop.
Now lets look at the math:
AA - 3 combinations: AsAh, AhAc, AsAc not 6.
KK - 2 combinations (we have 2 kings)not 12.
QQ,JJ,TT - 4 combinations each.
AK - 6 combinations (we have 2 kings)
AQ - 12 combinations
AJ - 12 combinations.
So the probability that TAG has an Ace is:
30 (comb. with ace)/
47 (total possible combinations)*100%
= 64%.
The chances our hand will be winning by the river:
36%+6% (the probability of catching a set 1/10.9 to river)=42% with KK and 35%with QQ.
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