Re: Nut flush draw on a paired board
When the board is paired, you want a little more overlay than usual. But you've got that here.
On the flop, you only need two callers (normally) for bets/raises to be for value. With four opponents and the possibility of a free card on the next street, that's plenty of extra sweetener to compensate for the paired board.
On the turn, you're getting 4.5:1 on a call (I think). At first glance, that seems a little thin considering the paired board, but you have to factor in that we're getting some extra river bets if we hit, and we might even win by spiking an ace. We also clean up if we catch a 5. Easy call.
If you make your flush on the river, you just need to be a little more careful than normal. I would raise a river bet but only call if I get 3-bet.
Basically, if you don't occasionally get taken to the cleaners in a flush-vs-boat situation, you're probably not playing right.
|