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Old 12-20-2005, 01:16 PM
tiltaholic tiltaholic is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 7
Default Re: raised 99 with Ace on flop against pfreraiser

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friends-

Don't cap preflop with 99.

Sykes is correct, check/fold. Hero missed this flop and doesn't have the odds to continue, especially against a TAG.

Do you normally play tables this tight? If so, I recommned seeking out some looser tables.

Regards, LG

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he's likely weak - so i'd fire a bet on the flop.
what hands raise UTG but won't cap it preflop? any tag will know you have AQ or AJ...if he has JJ-KK he's folding a lot here.

(and i wouldn't cap preflop out of position against this guy)

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I get 1:7 to my flop bet, that means I need only 14% of success to break even. According to probability of 30% of KK, QQ, JJ, TT, TAG should fold half of the time with such hands to give me the profit.
I think the bet on TAG would be correct, weak players as I notice calls their QQ to the end anyway.

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your usage of "weak" is incorrect.
a weak player will tend to fold.
a passive player will tend to call down.

calling down with QQ on an ace high board is playing passively.
folding with QQ on an ace high board is playing weakly.

how do you figure he has KK-TT 30% of the time?
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