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Old 12-19-2005, 07:59 PM
Guruman Guruman is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 228
Default Re: JJ, do we continue on the turn?

--blind response--

At first glance it looks like you're safe to draw to the gutshot.

Upon further review though, it seems like UTG will have JT here a significant portion of the time. He's very passive, and a turn checkraise vs two is a very aggressive move.

If he slowplayed QQ or 99 you'd have a chance. Ditto if he caught on 88, Q8, or 89. JT looks awfully likely here though, and he only has to have it 10% of the time to make a call here incorrect. I'd guess he has it over 30%.

Interesting though because we do have odds to draw, we just don't know if hitting will do us any good.

If you catch a T on the river, do you raise when he leads? What if you catch a J instead?
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