Re: Do I suck?
all i'm saying is that it's very possible for a 1.5BB/100 type player to run at 3BB/100 for 40k hands or so.
it's also possible for the same 1.5BB/100 player to run about break-even over this same stretch.
your win-rate after 50k hands has SOME meaning...but there is also quite a lot of room for variation in there.
Here's an idea....combine your previous hotter streak WITH the losing streak you've had. Your 60k sample-size has slightly more meaning than just the first 50k hands.
As far as the live pro is concerned I think you are answering your own question if you just want to take a look at your limited sample.
Lets assume you are a winning player...in that case you've already seen for yourself how relatively easy it is to have a 200BB downswing and you already know long it would take to get through such a downswing in live play.
You should also be able to see that it wouldn't be that impossible to put a couple of these downswings back to back.
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