[kidcolin]

Sharpie,

If you're basing the likelihood of AA on his low PFR stat, I'd pay more attention to what low PFR guys are actually popping with. Grouped with other stats, it's helpful (i.e., I have a good idea what a 22/17 TAG's range is), but for loose, passive, call stations, I see all sorts of odd stuff. 5 PFR guy opening UTG with JTs, raising from SB with A6s.. it's not quite as rational. I wouldn't be terribly surprised to see AA, but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see 33, A7s, or even K7s.