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Old 12-17-2005, 04:12 PM
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Default Re: Easy River Value Bet?

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it's really close i think, against someone with his vpip.

if it were like 50 i think it's good. the problems:

1. he will probably hang around on the flop and turn with Ax, as well as of course Qx.
2. we can not beat any K and he will definitely not fold one.

ah, i just saw your little note on him. 63% wtsd and showing down a bunch of crap... yes i like this bet. this guy will call with Tx, Jx, 97/87, and maybe under pairs.

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His VP$IP is 40 overall, from MP I would guess it is less than this by quite a bit. does he have Tx, Jx or 97/87 that often.

He will definitely raise a Q, will call K or an A. how many Jx or Tx or 7x does he have in proportion to Ks As and Qs that limp from MP?

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