Re: Crap
for now I think we assume that he's a mostly 'reasonable' player.
So I'm for bet/fold on the river.
You definitely have value on his range of calling hands. Many players just won't be laying-down A5 here. Some guys will refuse to lay-down even a K5-ish hand here.
I think it's safe to lay down to the raise here. I don't see him (read being 'mostly reasonable' for now) raising with air in this spot.
Just look at it more simply.
You took your stab at it on a scary board hoping he'll call-down with less...he's telling you he's got more than that...for this one i'll believe him.
Is that too weak? I just don't see calling-down here being successful often enough.
(these, and worse, were call-downs that I would routinely make before because there's always 'that chance' they have nothing...but am learning to not do that so much..and I think this is one of those times)
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