Re: ($55) Awkward spot with JJ preflop
I enjoyed reading how Curtains and Tigerite approached this hand as a math problem.
Unfortunately, I could play a $55 right now; push in that spot, get called from behind with 55, and have UTG call with A-9s and it wouldn't be an atypical $55.
Curtains is probably right with the logic that if you give UTG a tight range and have everybody behind you play perfectly then a push is correct in real life if it's correct under those circumstances. But I don't imagine it surprised him to find out that this would make it -EV compared to folding.
Once you allow players behind you to call with underpairs (which they absolutely will), and you put UTG on a realistically loose min-raising and calling range (which you can), a push with your chip stack in level 3 is clearly correct.
It might be close in a mini-step 5, but i'd say that even in a weekend or holiday $215 this is more than a marginally correct push. In a $55 a push is going to be significantly +EV.
Thank you all for an interesting thread, and thank you Tigerite for crunching the numbers needed to give us a launch point.
Irieguy
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