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Old 12-16-2005, 10:21 AM
tigerite tigerite is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 360
Default Re: ($55) Awkward spot with JJ preflop

No it's actually less.

Assume calls with TT+,AJs+,AQo+

6 ways for TT,QQ,KK,AA = 24
1 way for JJ = 1
16 ways for AK,AQ = 32
2 ways for AJs = 2

Total = 59 / 1225 = 4.816%

Therefore
Re-raise fold % rrF = (119 - 59) / 119 = 0.504202
Re-raise push/win % rrW = 0.475068 (against TT+,AJs+,AQo+)

So..
(rrF * evF) + ((1 - rrF) * evL * (1 - rrW)) + ((1 - rrF) * evW * rrW)

0.85 * [ (0.504202 * 0.1083) + (0.495798 * 0 * 0.524932) + (0.495798 * 0.176 * 0.475068) ]

= 0.85 * [ 0.0546050766 + 0 + 0.041454646510464 ]
= 0.85 * [ 0.096059723110464 ]
= 0.0816507646438944

+ 0.010419695 = 0.0920704596438944
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