Re: 22s - 99 overpair on flop
Whether or not there is a profound understanding of reverse implied odds in this thread (there isn't obv) I do not think they are the only basis for Hero's decision here.
I don't mind checking/probing/potting here. I haven't played many $22s in a while but if I remember correctly, you can certainly bet for value if you'd like and if an opp. to act gets frisky or someone wakes up on the turn after calling, then you know where your opponent stands. However, with such a vulnerable hand keeping the pot small should be key. On level 2 I'd be more inclined to check this but on level 1 I think there are a sufficient amount of chips in play to bet out here without running into 'makes me want to throw up' scenarios on the turn or river.
Also, beefy, Hero doesn't have position...and has no idea if he has the best hand here. You are right about one thing, 99 on this board vs. 4 random $22 players isn't something worth going B-A-N-A-N-A-S for.
Bah...okay....after writing all of this I like checking and letting one of the players left to act bet out. The other reason is that a probe bet may just build an out of control pot since many players may have a bit of this board but not enough to bet out from EP with (or riase you from LP). A pot bet may be better than a probe but I don't like getting ready for a battle over t75 chips this early in a STT in such a mutliway pot.
Generally on the turn you will have more information at your disposal in order to make a maximal decision. So check seems good/fine/whatever.
Even though this is one of the better flops for 99, it is marginal here.
Yugoslav
|