[Spicymoose]

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You did forget 45s (which we passed).

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This will lead us closer to a call down.

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I think you gave way too much weight to the FD 3 betting.

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Less then 1 in 5 times with his flush draw is way too much credit?

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I think you were way too conservative with the number of K combos.

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Considering K9 and KT may not even call, I think my estimate is pretty close to the truth.

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And this final thing, which I'm not sure about, but I think you're actually calculating the K combos wrong. Since the turn bet doesn't give us any information we should be going by how likely he was to hold a hand on the flop.

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I am pretty sure I am counting the combos right. There are only 2 possible kings he can hold, so you have to start from there in your counting. I am trying to figure out what we should do at the turn, so we can use any information up until our move.