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Old 12-15-2005, 04:17 PM
Justin A Justin A is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: I travel the world and the seven seas
Posts: 494
Default Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?

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Ok I ran PS (yea I know showdown stuff) for AQo with a 60% player followed by a raisers hand at the 12% range I defined earlier. Our equity is on the plus side at ~37%, however most of our equity is comming from the bad player, not the raiser.(Really that's not suprising) As that bad player tightens up or the good Lord forbid folds correctly it shrinks our edge. It also doesn't take much of a tightening from the raiser to kill our edge, with that said given the players I like the 3 bet.

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If you run the raiser with a 12% range, AQo is ahead of his range, so it's profitable no matter what the limper does.

Even giving the raiser an 8% range, we have 47% equity heads up. So if everyone folds including the limper, we've got 1.25 BB's in dead money to fight over. I think position alone makes up for the slight equity disadvantage we have with a 8% raisers range.

So what I'm saying is that we're in a profitable situation whether the limper folds or not. Also, loose limpers don't fold for two more bets after they've put a bet in the pot.
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