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Old 12-15-2005, 12:13 PM
AKQJ10 AKQJ10 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 184
Default Re: Tilting on the bubble?

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I seem to run into this as well. Everything thing I've read says to be more aggressive as you get close to the money, as other players tighten up and just try to hang on until they are in the money. But more times than not, I run into a monster, and get busted out.

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I have this "problem" too. But keep in mind that by playing aggressively you're exchanging a good shot at a tiny prize for a lesser, but still significant, probability of a much bigger prize. Instead of an 80% chance of winning 1% of the prize pool, you have perhaps a 20% chance of winning 10% or more of the prize pool. (Just making up numbers to illustrate the principle.) That's a +EV gamble, but it is a gamble. It also makes for more frustrating near-misses.
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