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Old 12-15-2005, 01:38 AM
Cosimo Cosimo is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 199
Default Re: 67s - 100NL - i probably play bad

You're 54% to hit either your straight or flush. Unless he's got A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], you're in good shape. You're a favorite against AA and KK. 51.62% against one with a diamond, 56.62% against one without.

I'm risk-averse. While typing this up, I just had 78s against a 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] hand. I didn't push, but I reraised big (from position), checked the turn when I missed, and checked the river when that missed too.

Thing is, I was a 64% favorite in the hand, so for every dollar I got him to call, I was profiting about 30c. Of course, I didn't know his hand at the time. The biggest raise that he'd call would make good money; if he folded, I'd take down the pot there.

So, dunno. It's easy to say "push" but I'm not sure I believe it myself. Someone, convince me plz. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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