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Old 12-14-2005, 10:24 PM
brick brick is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Seattle
Posts: 101
Default Re: I don\'t know how to play this. AQs 3-bet from MP.

I see that I have equity two ways:
1) SB bets a worse hand and EP folds, I call and SB doesn't improve.
2) I spike an A or Q and no one has AK+

If situation #1 happens 10% of the time.
and I have an adjusted ~4 outs that 4/47 = 8.5% so a little less than ~18% equity because both events might happen at the same time.
I'm calling 1 bet to win 14. So I should call.

But SB will fold a complete bluff where as I will call down with A high so I have worse implied odds than the pots odds show.

any thoughts on how to cacluate this more accuratly?
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