[tewall]

Make a guess how often people will fold to the flop bet, and work out the math. Just from the fold to the flop bet you gain. You don't have to play well post flop, just bet the flop.

The flop bet only has to work 1 in 3 times to break even, and people fold much more often than that. Anyway, make some assumptions, try out the math, and see what you think. When I've tried out calculations like this they come up better playing as I suggested as opposed to pushing. At higher levels, people will take a raise as carte blanche to move all-in, but at a $22 it's unlikely you'll be moved all-in against unless the hand is very strong (in which case you're happy you can fold).