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Old 12-14-2005, 07:54 PM
istewart istewart is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Baseball Preview Issue
Posts: 2,523
Default Re: passive - true...but bad?

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I don't really get the turn call. The pot is quite small, you're behind very often, and your weak draw has reverse-implied odds. Explain? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

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You are not behind here very often and when you are, you usually have outs to the flush. He's either got overs (and a possible flush draw) in which case you are ahead, or he's got a pair (and no flush draw) in which case you are drawing to 9 outs. Yes, there will be some cases where he has a pair+higher flush draw but that's rare.

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It's not that rare for him to have a pair and a higher flush draw. I don't know how you can say you're not behind very often after an UTG raise when he keeps betting on this board. Obviously it could be KQ or 66 but this is only a small part of his range. Furthermore even when he has KQ we have to dodge a huge amount of the deck if he has a diamond -- are we even calling on the river UI? -- and if we're calling based on our diamond draw, consider that the pot is only 4 BB, he might fold to a bet or check behind on a diamond river with no flush, and bet or raise when he makes one himself.
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