View Single Post
  #5  
Old 12-14-2005, 06:26 PM
bizaff bizaff is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 97
Default Re: Bad River Push??

[ QUOTE ]
yeah he's a decent player, but despite that he's just a low-limit internet player. i wouldnt have pushed if i didnt feel he wouldnt call me with a smaller 8. so, for our purposes, lets assume he'll call with any 8 . . . is a push optimal in that case??

[/ QUOTE ]

GIVEN he'll call you with any 8, it's simple math:

Card-number of combinations

You win:

Q-4
J-4
T-4
9-4
7-4
6-4
5-4
4-4
---
32 combinations

You lose:

K-3
3-3
2-3
---
9 combinations

You're 32:9 to win the pot.

EDIT: even if you want to add in all the boats that beat you:

KK - 3
33 - 3
22 - 3

You're still 32:18 to win.

I think the most important point by far is figuring out whether or not he'll call with ANY 8.
Reply With Quote