Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me
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Most players overestimate their fold equity.
Villain only needs to be ~40% in the hand, and is in critical chip situation so may make calls with less than 40%.
roughly Villain calls any suited, any ace,king,queen, 1/2 the jacks, tens down to t8, 9 down to 98. roughly 80% of his hands. Hero is only 40% against this range, substantially EV-.
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..."any suited, any ace,king,queen, 1/2 the jacks, tens down to t8, 9 down to 98" - this is 80% of all hands? I doubt that, and villian isn't stupid enough to call with all suited trash hands.
I mean, I think this was the best guy to steal from at the table.
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