Re: Today\'s quiz at Cardplayer: steal situation
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The usual reasons? Because villain might be on a draw, our hand might be best, if our hand is no good there are a ton of outs and villain will not necessarily c/r.
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yeah, but...
* this flop is coordinated and likely to have hit BB
* a checkraise sucks here. we have just enough outs to call, but not enough to feel very good about it.
* you can induce a bluff on the end from a busted draw or other random hand that peeled on the flop. usually that bet will go in either way on the river.
* you might extract a couple bets on the river if you hit a Q and BB was slowplaying JT or something
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Wynton is right...
Checking behind with outs is good if we're not likely to have the best hand. That's not the case here.
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* a checkraise sucks here. we have just enough outs to call, but not enough to feel very good about it.
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This is just wrong because:
1) Poker is about making correct decisions, not about feeling good or bad when raised.
2) We're not getting c/r'ed 100% of the time.
If villain had just called or folded (which happens sometimes here), this wouldn't have been an issue.
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