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Old 12-14-2005, 02:39 PM
TomBrooks TomBrooks is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: .5/1 Full Hand
Posts: 671
Default Re: Certainly there\'s a better line

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I'd rather fold preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]And forfeit an almost certain equity edge vs. this opponent?

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Hi DC,

Hero's equity edge in this hand doesn't seem like such a big deal to me.

- For instance, giving the opponent T8o with different suits than hero, hero's preflop equity edge is 51.3 to 48.6. (Poker Stove)

- Even giving villian something that he probably wouldn't raise with like 65o and hero's equity edge is only 53 to 46%.

- If villian has JTs, hero is a slight dog at 47%.

- I'd guess just being OOP is probably more of a detriment than 3% to 4% equity edge can make up.

- And if villian has any bigger pocket pair, hero has only 19% equity.

It seems to me to be a crapshoot, but being OOP with a baby pair makes it much harder to capitalize when your ahead. If you play it hard, Villian can fold the hands where he misses, but he can punish you when he's strong, or just let you do the betting for him with a decent holding that he'll want to take to showdown HU. Maybe this is a play that I just don't understand, because it doesn't seem like a desirable situation to me.
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