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Old 11-20-2003, 03:26 PM
brad brad is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
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Default jfk ass conpiracy probility? using bayes theorum (plus a poll)

ok. so guy is arrested.

they r pretty sure he is shooter.

he protests. before he can talk (other than to say he is a patsy), he is killed.

he is killed by a known gangster/cia (was he cia? not sure) anywayh someone with ties.

then the gangster at first says something dumb (i did it cause i loved president, wanted to soothe widow or something.) , and then after a while in prison hints theres a conspiracy.

ok, so given this parlay of events alone, what is the probability you would estimate that there was something going on here? eg, conspiracy.


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