Re: Do we take the free card?
I dont think he's folding so after reanalysing the hand i think i may take the free card actually.
He isn't folding so we must improve and i dont see us doing it often enough to call a river bet from him(Say he bets this river 100% to make it easier).
We must fold if we miss and can raise if we hit or call. Say we call.
We have AT MOST 9+6 outs so 15 being about 1 in 3, 30% we will win the pot and 60% we will lose it due to fold.
He'd have to fold 20% of time to make this +EV right? And i dont think he folds 1 in 5...
Also i said we have 15outs, prob have less and i also said he bets the river 100% which he probably doesnt. However i also said he wont fold and he may.
Meh i take the free card.
|