Thread: A6s flop play
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Old 12-12-2005, 06:06 PM
shadow29 shadow29 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: ATL
Posts: 178
Default Re: A6s flop play

fold.

AA, KK, QQ, AK, AQ, JJ, TT.

Against AA you have 2 outs.
Against KK you have effectively 0 outs.
Against QQ you have effectively 0 outs.
Against AK you have 2 outs.
Against AQ you have 2 outs.
Against JJ you have 5 outs.
Against TT you have 5 outs.

There are 3 combos of AA, KK, and QQ. There are 9 combos of AK and AQ and there are 6 combos of JJ and TT.

21 combos 2 outs
12 combos 5 outs
6 combos 0 outs

39 combos total

21/39 times you have 2 outs
12/39 times you have 5 outs
6/ 39 times you have 0 outs

Thus, you have 2.615 outs.

Pot is 10.5:1, best case is 11.5:1. You need somewhere between 3 and 4 outs to call profitably.

Thus, fold.

Tell me if any of my math is wrong.
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