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I think the 200 number Schneids threw out is significantly off. By a factor of 5-10x.

Don't forget to think about the SNG and PLO players. Both are pretty popular nowadays and there are certainly more than a few making 100k+ at those games.

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I think Schneids is pretty much on the money. The site I'm most familiar with is Pokerstars, which happens to be one of the biggest. From what I've seen, there can't be many more than 100 people making "real" money on that site.