Re: Blind war w/ a 2+2\'er
It looks like most of the responses disagree with my river value bet.
Putting him on a thorough hand range (that I'm ahead of) BEFORE the river:
Made hands: A8o/s, K8o/s, Q8s, T8s, 98s, 77, 66, possibly 44
Overs: AK, AQ, AJ, AT, A9, KQ, KJ, KT, K9s, QJ, QT, JT
There's not a 100% chance he has each of these hands. I think for hands that are suited in [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]'s or have one [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] that likelihood goes up.
The way the hand played out, not betting the river felt weak. I'm really trying to focus on better river play. Yes I could've c/c'd to induce a bluff, but I felt there was too great of a chance he uses his position and checks behind an unmade hand UI. Also, bet/folding is not an option.
FWIW, he had 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and spewed IMO.
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