Re: Satellite on the bubble - push into minraiser with KK?
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96% is probably right, if he intends to play his very big hands but nothing else. The mid sized stacks will take even fewer chances than he will, but will not hesitate to steal his blinds (closing in on 10% of his stack size) two of every 7 hands if they know he is inactive. His stack will dwindle, his equity will fall.
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96% is close with good play against good players. With a bunch of fish miniraising with A8o as big stacks, someone will probably bust themselves out before he becaomes a small stack if he posts and folds.
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