Re: A hand from the blinds ($55)
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I'm with Scuba, I prefer check-calling the river. I think you can fold to that raise. My guess is you're facing JT or some goofy two pair hand.
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I'll elaborate a little more on why I decided to value bet.
Villian checks behind on the flop and then smooth calls the turn with one player left to act. This is consistent with how some people play a monster. It's also consistent with how someone might play a K, a Q, a club draw, any pair with a gutshot.
On the river, no draws got there. I figured that those non-ace pair hands that called the turn want to get to showdown and "keep me honest." They will probably call a small bet. I think the hands that call a small bet are a larger part of his range than the drawing hands.
If I get raised, I'm comfortable letting this go. There's a small risk that my weak river bet induces the raise from a worse hand, but I think this is uncommon by a random $55 player.
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