Re: Anyone fold here?
I think pushing here is a mistake. Calling and then pushing the flop seems much better to me. Here's why: It is very unlikely that either player will fold for the 470 chips more you can make it. However, if you miss the flop and then bet your 470, both players will very likely fold hands you are beating (which will usually contain between 3 and 7 outs on your unimproved AK) and might very well fold hands that are beating you (UTG might fold 99 on a QJ3 flop). Furthermore, the 475 chips that are currently in the pot are more valueable per chip than the 940 extra you might win by pushing preflop. IMO, the route that gives you the best chance to win those original 475 chips is optimal. Remember, you might win the extra 940 anyway.
moses
|