Re: Screwed up Bellagio 3k Bubble
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uh..
you absolutely should let the bubble "cloud your judgement" if thats what it takes to make the best decision. The bubble isn't to be just ignored. Yes first place is a lot of money, but that doesnt mean you just ignore 1.5 or so buyins that you could get just by folding.
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The 1.5 buyins has some value, but when you are this close to the big money, it shouldn't be your main consideration about folding a hand where you are not sure if you are ahead. If hero called and won this hand, he probably would have had a good chance at the final table and much buger money.
This is not to say I think the call was correct. I am not as good a player as OP, but I wouldn't have played this hand as he did on any street.
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didn't OP say that he wasn't anywhere close to the "big money" betgo, your reasoning seems really, really bad here.
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If he wins the hand, he has 70K with 1K/2K blinds. I assume that would rank him fairly high with 18 players left and 9 for the final table. It seems to me that he would have had a good shot at the top places. I assume first prize was like $200K. I know $4K seems like lot, but it is not by comparison.
When I multitable $20 180-player SNGs, I don't concern myself much with the $40 for the 2nd table. I am playing for several hundred dollars. Same thing if I play in a $300 side event. The prize structure is similar. I don't see how the strategy changes if you multiply the numbers by 10 or 150.
That's the way I have found works in playing tournaments this size. I play for the top spots at the final table and don't worry much about cashing.
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