Re: When not to make a continuation bet
It's a double gutshot so you have 50%-ish, but I think you (I, you might not) get far more EV out of calling/raising his turn bet depending on what falls [my check behind/raise turn lines get, like, a *lot* more folds than yours do...] If I think it's a guy that will overbet 99 on the turn if I check behind as opposed to 'some donkey I've never seen', I'll bet it.
Anyway, I know MLG knows this, but to the rest of you -instead of looking at the individual flops I've listed, look at the pattern.
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