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Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed)
FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
Hero ($146)
BB ($262.82)
UTG ($19)
MP ($380.70)
CO ($199.90)
Button ($130.65)
Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $0.50.
<font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $3</font>, <font color="#666666">
2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero (poster) raises to $8.5</font>, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, MP calls $6.
Flop: ($19) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $30</font>, Hero...
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Why are we not pushing here? Calling puts $79 in the pot and leaves us with ~$107. Pushing here forces him to make a decision and probably the wrong one. The turn holds at least 15 cards we don't really want to see (spades plus other Aces or Kings). The villain is tricky so it's hard to know where we stand after his min-raise.
The pot after his min raise is almost 50% of our stack. I say it's big enough to win now. Help me see why pushing here is wrong.