Re: Can I raise this turn?
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I think I would call and then check/fold behind on the river if a non-T comes off.
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so you advocate to call getting 10-1 on a 22-1 draw? Surely that is not good advice.
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I probably didn't express myself clearly enough. I don't advocate a call purely because I hope to catch a T, but different things might happen on the river when a non-T comes off which I think could give me equity enough to warrant a call on the turn:
1) If SB checks and BB checks, I'd check behind and win some of the time.
2) If SB checks and BB bets, I'd probably fold.
3) If SB bets, and BB folds, I might call.
4) And if SB bets and BB calls or raises, I'd definitely fold.
So my "check/fold behind on the river if a non-T comes off" was a gross simplification, and I've not sat down and worked out any estimates of percentages, but going by instinct a I think a call could be correct on the turn.
But I would certainly like to hear other people's analysis, as I wrote at the beginning this is a tough hand to analyze in my opinion so I could be way off.
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I don't agree with 1. You should def bet when checked to on river. 3 and 4 contradict each other. BB's decision in this hand shouldn't affect ur decision. I don't think bb ever has an overpair, so u shouldn't mind overcalling at all.
I don't mean to be harsh, but i think this is kind of weak tight.
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