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Old 12-08-2005, 02:05 PM
fyodor fyodor is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 596
Default Re: Pruitt\'s article on bluffing

I agree that Bluff 2 looks pretty good but Bluff 1 is thin.
Given your read on his range he has AA or KK aprox. 36% of the time. The other 64% looks like an autocall of your raise and in a lot of cases he will even reraise.

Of the 36% of the time he has AA or KK you need him to lay it down over 40% in order to pull a profit. Given he only needs to catch you bluffing about 7% I don't think you will find a lot of opponents willing to fold enough.

I'm sure they exist and I understand the point you are trying to make. Also even if you are wrong about how often he will fold an overpair, most good players will fold here at least some of the time, so you aren't losing a lot.
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