[soah]

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would a smaller bet of $5 or do induce a raise, or would he flat call it?

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Trying to induce passive players to raise is not a very good plan.

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guess i didnt pay attention to the fact that he's passive.

is this because a passive player will only raise with hands that beat you?

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Hard to beat the nuts here, I think?

Many passive players can barely read the board, much less read hands. They don't know how many/what hands can beat them. That's why you see totally ridiculous things like players calling the river closing the action with the nuts. The read given for this player was that he may not bet again if checked to... well if he's not going to bet his hand, then he certainly isn't going to raise a bet in front of him for value.

I stand by my original point... if you don't already have a plan for extracting a lot on the river, then you have to fold the turn. Drawing against passive players sucks (if they've actually made a decent bet) because it's hard to cash in on your implied odds. Chasing isn't the best way to exploit them.