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Old 12-08-2005, 11:37 AM
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Default Re: When not to make a continuation bet

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You have learned a valuable lesson and shared it with us, namely that you can't ALWAYS fire out a continuation bet or you will be quickly losing more than the amount necessary to make them profitable if you are playing with anything other than mindless donks. This would be the perfect spot to check behind. To make a non-readable continuation bet here you have to pot-bet because of the draw heavy board. It has to appear you are pushing out draws or you might as well just put your cards face up and hand over your money.

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I don't entirely agree with this statement either. How often is the villain actually going to have a hand and check-raise all-in versus perhaps calling or even reraising a normal amount? If the villain had chosen a different line then the CB is definitely right here. You want to inflate the pot a little bit so you're taking down something significant when you win it. I would still fire out a continuation bet on this flop almost every time and I'm very rarely using full pot-sized continuation bets. Why risk a full pot sized bet when a 2/3 size bet accomplishes the same thing in most cases? If I fire out with a 2/3 pot bet and win 1/3 times I'm breaking even. If I win it 2/3 times I'm ahead. This simple concept means I should almost always be firing out with a continuation bet as the preflop raiser. There are definitely exceptions to this, but I don't think that this post indicates that hero shouldn't have bet out on that flop. He absolutely should have! It's just bad luck that he ran into a c/r all in from AA here. Do you really think that you're running into this hand often enough to stop firing out a bet in this spot? What about the possibility that villain is holdin TT-QQ and the K on board scares him into folding? Those are all plausible holdings for someone calling a raise preflop.

Unless you have a good read that your opponent has AK, KK or AA I feel that not betting here is wrong. You may just get him to lay down a better hand and win it anyway.
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