Thread: KQo in the SB.
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Old 12-08-2005, 02:11 AM
Pog0 Pog0 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 27
Default Re: KQo in the SB.

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I bet the BB is playing A-rag.

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Based on absolutely nothing.

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I doubt someone with less than a set of aces is going to bet here.

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I don't think I'm nitpicking when I say that "set" is the wrong term to use here.

Regardless, a lot of hands will bet here.

If you had an ace, you'd bet (usually). Your opposition will figure you for less than an ace. There's a good chance any pair will bet here or any cards.

How often, I don't know. It's an easy fold to a 3-bet, and if the hand goes on to the river, you check/fold. Are you folding out two hands 27% of the time? BB is folding without an ace, no reason to suspect he has one yet. UTG+1 open limped so we have some reasonable evidence that he plays junk. That junk includes an ace often, and that ace isn't folding. If he calls the c/r, he's folding the river 0% of the time unless he's on a flush draw, in which case, you're bluffing with the best hand anyway.
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