Re: This is an ace every single time
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sorry but i think using the math you are trying to use here is ridiculous.
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Any answer uses some type of math, whether formal or not. I didn't even explain my method I was going to use. Unless we are guessing a completely random number, we must use some sort of math. I guess if you have run across this type of situation over and over again, you might be able to estimate it on past experiences, but I definetly can't do that. If others can, that is wonderful, and I hope they share their anecdotal evidence. I just think that the amount of trials in this type of situation we have had is not enough for an accurate answer. I do believe there is some form of math that can solve this using a few assumptions. Whether or not we agree on those assumptions is a different topic.
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