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Old 12-07-2005, 09:49 PM
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Default Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05

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I'm not exactly disagreeing with you here

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I'm not disagreeing with you neccessarily either. They can't always get even action. They will get exposure at times. It is my belief they will try to minimize that exposure. It is also my belief they will try to manipulate that exposure to their best benefit.

But unlike others I do not believe they seek out this exposure and would be much happier with dead even action on every game. But that isn't likely to happen but I still believe that is their desire and goal and lines are set to get as close to equal action as possible and never set to give big books exposure to one side or the other. But when exposure is inevitable they are set so the book will get the exposure they want.

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If I remember correctly, this conversation started because you said the NFL couldn't be beaten in large part due to the fact that so much action was coming in on these 256 games yearly. So while I'm not saying the NFL is easy pickins per se, it is easier than your average sport simply because there is so much predictable amateur action. I'm not sure whether you're agreeing with this point or not as a result of this large action. The sportsbook side-taking issue I believe was a tangent.
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