[callydrias]

[ QUOTE ]
If my logic is flawed here, please correct me. So we gained 2.1 SB here on a play that
1)won't always work, thereby only being worth X * 2.1 SB where X is the percentage of times this does get the other people to fold divided by 100.
2)Costs us an extra SB to do anyway.
So best case scenario (it always works) we gain 1.1 SB. In order for this to be profitable it must work (remove other two players) 48% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

Correct. It really gains us 1.1SB after taking the extra cost into account. We may gain a bit less than that if the play doesn't work, but I would think you wouldn't lose the entire 1.1SB, thus we ultimately gain by leading. Worst case (barring reraises) is everyone stays and it costs us an extra SB, but we already have more than our fair share of equity anyway, so life's still good.