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Old 12-06-2005, 09:42 PM
Nick C Nick C is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 1,582
Default Re: 5/10 river decision, set

In addition to 75, 97 is another straight on the turn, and that's something to be aware of, in any case. A number of players (especially loose ones) will play both 97s and 75s in MP3, and that's 8 combos (and 97 is 16 combos if it doesn't need to be suited).

Anyway, though, I like the turn 3-bet, and I'm feeling good about my hand when MP3 just calls that 3-bet. I don't know what he has (a top-pair hand he slowplayed on the flop? some suited two-pair hand? a hand like 87 that now has a pair and a double-gutshot? AA or some other overpair?), but I'm liking my chances.

The river raise is unexpected, especially on that card. Does Villain have KT (9 combos)? KK (3 combos)? Did he decide to "slowplay" a straight after your turn 3-bet? Does he have K6/K4/K8? Does he optimistically think his 77 is good? Beats me.

I'd probably 3-bet and call a cap, but I wouldn't be surprised if I found out I was beat.
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