Re: $109 Party Hand - Trip Jacks vs. another big stack on river
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Villain has to bet the pot with 77 half as much as he calls half the pot with it, and I assure you, from my results they not only bet big with 77 but almost anything that got to the river in the first place.
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do we agree that no good player is betting 77 there? that's a group that we'd like to value bet, for starters.
i'm skeptical about this claim that you're going to see a bet at all from most players there with 77. i think they usually check (but i'm willing to be convinced). unfortunately there's not a real way to logic through that, so hopefully others will post their impressions.
i think it's pretty unlikely that you see a full pot bet. i'd expect a 1/3-2/3 pot a lot more often.
is there something about this board/betting line that makes you think villains are going to be jumping to fire big river bets with air or with mediocre made hands they should be showing down?
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