[MrWookie47]

I think I agree. What's most surprising to me is that we're hoping villain has a set instead of an overpair. There aren't very many situations like that [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]. We even have to further discount our outs beyond what you did to account for the times when villain has A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]A (2/3 of the time, so we lose 2/3 of an out in that situation), K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]K (half the time, costing us half an out in that situation), or 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9 (same as KK). We have reverse implied odds. There isn't a lot we can profitably raise, and we may end up paying off if we hit.

I think this is a good fold.