Re: 25/50 bluff v bbuddy
You are betting $1400 to win $900 and almost certainly getting called if he has a queen. But, I think it takes a lot of guts to call you with a middling hand on the river.
Given he called your re-raise pre-flop, if he had a queen, it was probably a decent queen and he ought to have protected the flop. So the probability of his having a queen is low. Does he put you on a bluff and call? Maybe, because you didn't protect the flop or turn either, so you probably don't have a queen either. But, you could have flopped a set and given a free card.
My view is a gutsy player might call you down with a middle pair or maybe A7, A4. But, that's ok, if you get called, you are certainly in a position to win it back when you have the full house.
|