[elindauer]

Not too much discussion on this one. I guess I'll be left to wonder whether that means it is obvious, or difficult, or what. I still don't know how to discount the various draws or assess the implied / reverse implied odds of the "good" cards in the deck. I'm guessing the way to go is to guesstimate the value of a club, a ten, and a 9, and then do the math.

In the hand, I decided I didn't like any piece of my draw, made a quick guess that I'd often be forced to fold the river even after catching, especially in the bulk of my draw which is to the 4th nut club. I folded.

As luck would have it, the SB bet the river and everyone called, so I got to find out just where I was on the turn and speculate about how this hand would have played out. It turns out that the bettor has turned set, and the callers have various pairs, including as strong as KQ, but with no clubs. My entire 14 out draw was clean. Oops.


The river blanked off though, so I'd have lost this version of the hand anyways.

-Eric