[TheRover]

I can't think of a way you could possibly figure out EV for something like this. Your best bet would be to look at as many other books as possible and see what the typical line is. If the others mostly have +300 or something you might have something there.

P.S. I know jack [censored] about these type of prop bets so all the above could be [censored].

My personal political opinion is that the Democrats ought to find someone else, but that's not here or there...